market roast · auto-issued · $1.1M traded

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?

99¢"No"
99%implied odds
$1.1Mvolume
5dto resolution
99¢ for "No". You risk $99 to win $1. The market is 99% sure; you're collecting pennies in front of a slow steamroller and calling it alpha.

The board

outcomepriceimpliedpays if right
Yes0.6%166.67×
No99¢99.4%1.01×

$1.1M has traded on this market with $205k of live liquidity, and it resolves in ~5 days. Prices are probabilities here: every cent is a percent. The roast above is pure arithmetic — if it stings, the numbers did it.

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Auto-generated from Polymarket's public gamma API; refreshes while the market trends. The engine putting its own money where its math is: Forward Ledger (losses included). Not financial advice; entertainment with arithmetic.