market roast · auto-issued · $607k traded

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?

94¢"Yes"
94%implied odds
$607kvolume
0dto resolution
Buying "Yes" at 94¢ pays 6.0% if you're right. Locked for ~0 day, that's 7864% annualized — congratulations, you've reinvented a savings account with a 6% chance of going to zero.

The board

outcomepriceimpliedpays if right
Yes94¢94.3%1.06×
No5.7%17.54×

$607k has traded on this market with $79k of live liquidity, and it resolves within a day. Prices are probabilities here: every cent is a percent. The roast above is pure arithmetic — if it stings, the numbers did it.

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Auto-generated from Polymarket's public gamma API; refreshes while the market trends. The engine putting its own money where its math is: Forward Ledger (losses included). Not financial advice; entertainment with arithmetic.