market roast · auto-issued · $514k traded

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?

97¢"Yes"
97%implied odds
$514kvolume
2dto resolution
97¢ for "Yes". You risk $97 to win $3. The market is 97% sure; you're collecting pennies in front of a slow steamroller and calling it alpha.

The board

outcomepriceimpliedpays if right
Yes97¢97.0%1.03×
No3.0%32.79×

$514k has traded on this market with $87k of live liquidity, and it resolves in ~2 days. Prices are probabilities here: every cent is a percent. The roast above is pure arithmetic — if it stings, the numbers did it.

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Auto-generated from Polymarket's public gamma API; refreshes while the market trends. The engine putting its own money where its math is: Forward Ledger (losses included). Not financial advice; entertainment with arithmetic.