market roast · auto-issued · $519k traded

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?

91¢"Yes"
91%implied odds
$519kvolume
7dto resolution
Market says "Yes" at 91%. To make money against $519k of real-money consensus you need a real edge — measured in points, not confidence. Most people bringing "I just feel it" to this market are the yield.

The board

outcomepriceimpliedpays if right
Yes91¢90.5%1.10×
No10¢9.5%10.53×

$519k has traded on this market with $52k of live liquidity, and it resolves in ~7 days. Prices are probabilities here: every cent is a percent. The roast above is pure arithmetic — if it stings, the numbers did it.

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Auto-generated from Polymarket's public gamma API; refreshes while the market trends. The engine putting its own money where its math is: Forward Ledger (losses included). Not financial advice; entertainment with arithmetic.