market roast · auto-issued · $628k traded

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?

97¢"Yes"
97%implied odds
$628kvolume
1dto resolution
97¢ for "Yes". You risk $97 to win $4. The market is 97% sure; you're collecting pennies in front of a slow steamroller and calling it alpha.

The board

outcomepriceimpliedpays if right
Yes97¢96.5%1.04×
No3.5%28.57×

$628k has traded on this market with $98k of live liquidity, and it resolves within a day. Prices are probabilities here: every cent is a percent. The roast above is pure arithmetic — if it stings, the numbers did it.

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Auto-generated from Polymarket's public gamma API; refreshes while the market trends. The engine putting its own money where its math is: Forward Ledger (losses included). Not financial advice; entertainment with arithmetic.