market roast · auto-issued · $3.6M traded

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

97¢"No"
97%implied odds
$3.6Mvolume
0dto resolution
97¢ for "No". You risk $97 to win $3. The market is 97% sure; you're collecting pennies in front of a slow steamroller and calling it alpha.

The board

outcomepriceimpliedpays if right
Yes2.5%39.22×
No97¢97.5%1.03×

$3.6M has traded on this market with $183k of live liquidity, and it resolves within a day. Prices are probabilities here: every cent is a percent. The roast above is pure arithmetic — if it stings, the numbers did it.

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Auto-generated from Polymarket's public gamma API; refreshes while the market trends. The engine putting its own money where its math is: Forward Ledger (losses included). Not financial advice; entertainment with arithmetic.