market roast · auto-issued · $546k traded

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?

98¢"No"
98%implied odds
$546kvolume
13dto resolution
98¢ for "No". You risk $98 to win $2. The market is 98% sure; you're collecting pennies in front of a slow steamroller and calling it alpha.

The board

outcomepriceimpliedpays if right
Yes2¢2.4%41.67×
No98¢97.6%1.02×

$546k has traded on this market with $122k of live liquidity, and it resolves in ~13 days. Prices are probabilities here: every cent is a percent. The roast above is pure arithmetic — if it stings, the numbers did it.

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Auto-generated from Polymarket's public gamma API; refreshes while the market trends. The engine putting its own money where its math is: Forward Ledger (losses included). Not financial advice; entertainment with arithmetic.