market roast · auto-issued · $14.3M traded

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

92¢"No"

92%implied odds

$14.3Mvolume

20dto resolution

Market says "No" at 92%. To make money against $14.3M of real-money consensus you need a real edge — measured in points, not confidence. Most people bringing "I just feel it" to this market are the yield.

The board

outcome	price	implied	pays if right
Yes	9¢	8.5%	11.76×
No	92¢	91.5%	1.09×

$14.3M has traded on this market with $413k of live liquidity, and it resolves in ~20 days. Prices are probabilities here: every cent is a percent. The roast above is pure arithmetic — if it stings, the numbers did it.

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Auto-generated from Polymarket's public gamma API; refreshes while the market trends. The engine putting its own money where its math is: Forward Ledger (losses included). Not financial advice; entertainment with arithmetic.