market roast · auto-issued · $1.5M traded

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

77¢"No"

77%implied odds

$1.5Mvolume

58dto resolution

Market says "No" at 77%. To make money against $1.5M of real-money consensus you need a real edge — measured in points, not confidence. Most people bringing "I just feel it" to this market are the yield.

The board

outcome	price	implied	pays if right
Yes	24¢	23.5%	4.26×
No	77¢	76.5%	1.31×

$1.5M has traded on this market with $251k of live liquidity, and it resolves in ~58 days. Prices are probabilities here: every cent is a percent. The roast above is pure arithmetic — if it stings, the numbers did it.

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Auto-generated from Polymarket's public gamma API; refreshes while the market trends. The engine putting its own money where its math is: Forward Ledger (losses included). Not financial advice; entertainment with arithmetic.