market roast · auto-issued · $76.2M traded

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

96¢"No"
96%implied odds
$76.2Mvolume
20dto resolution
Buying "No" at 96¢ pays 4.7% if you're right. Locked for ~20 days, that's 84% annualized — congratulations, you've reinvented a savings account with a 4% chance of going to zero.

The board

outcomepriceimpliedpays if right
Yes4.5%22.47×
No96¢95.5%1.05×

$76.2M has traded on this market with $3.0M of live liquidity, and it resolves in ~20 days. Prices are probabilities here: every cent is a percent. The roast above is pure arithmetic — if it stings, the numbers did it.

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Auto-generated from Polymarket's public gamma API; refreshes while the market trends. The engine putting its own money where its math is: Forward Ledger (losses included). Not financial advice; entertainment with arithmetic.