market roast · auto-issued · $353k traded

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?

86¢"Yes"
86%implied odds
$353kvolume
153dto resolution
Market says "Yes" at 86%. To make money against $353k of real-money consensus you need a real edge — measured in points, not confidence. Most people bringing "I just feel it" to this market are the yield.

The board

outcomepriceimpliedpays if right
Yes86¢86.0%1.16×
No14¢14.0%7.14×

$353k has traded on this market with $51k of live liquidity, and it resolves in ~153 days. Prices are probabilities here: every cent is a percent. The roast above is pure arithmetic — if it stings, the numbers did it.

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Auto-generated from Polymarket's public gamma API; refreshes while the market trends. The engine putting its own money where its math is: Forward Ledger (losses included). Not financial advice; entertainment with arithmetic.