market roast · auto-issued · $1.0M traded

Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

95¢"No"
95%implied odds
$1.0Mvolume
102dto resolution
95¢ for "No". You risk $95 to win $5. The market is 95% sure; you're collecting pennies in front of a slow steamroller and calling it alpha.

The board

outcomepriceimpliedpays if right
Yes5.1%19.42×
No95¢94.8%1.05×

$1.0M has traded on this market with $207k of live liquidity, and it resolves in ~102 days. Prices are probabilities here: every cent is a percent. The roast above is pure arithmetic — if it stings, the numbers did it.

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Auto-generated from Polymarket's public gamma API; refreshes while the market trends. The engine putting its own money where its math is: Forward Ledger (losses included). Not financial advice; entertainment with arithmetic.