market roast · auto-issued · $4.0M traded

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

73¢"Yes"
73%implied odds
$4.0Mvolume
164dto resolution
Market says "Yes" at 73%. To make money against $4.0M of real-money consensus you need a real edge — measured in points, not confidence. Most people bringing "I just feel it" to this market are the yield.

The board

outcomepriceimpliedpays if right
Yes73¢73.5%1.36×
No27¢26.6%3.77×

$4.0M has traded on this market with $80k of live liquidity, and it resolves in ~164 days. Prices are probabilities here: every cent is a percent. The roast above is pure arithmetic — if it stings, the numbers did it.

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Auto-generated from Polymarket's public gamma API; refreshes while the market trends. The engine putting its own money where its math is: Forward Ledger (losses included). Not financial advice; entertainment with arithmetic.