market roast · auto-issued · $307k traded

Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

98¢"No"
98%implied odds
$307kvolume
101dto resolution
Buying "No" at 98¢ pays 1.6% if you're right. Locked for ~101 days, that's 6% annualized — congratulations, you've reinvented a savings account with a 2% chance of going to zero.

The board

outcomepriceimpliedpays if right
Yes2¢1.6%64.52×
No98¢98.5%1.02×

$307k has traded on this market with $77k of live liquidity, and it resolves in ~101 days. Prices are probabilities here: every cent is a percent. The roast above is pure arithmetic — if it stings, the numbers did it.

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Auto-generated from Polymarket's public gamma API; refreshes while the market trends. The engine putting its own money where its math is: Forward Ledger (losses included). Not financial advice; entertainment with arithmetic.