market roast · auto-issued · $1.4M traded

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

63¢"No"
63%implied odds
$1.4Mvolume
19dto resolution
"No" at 63¢ with $1.4M traded. The price already contains every hot take you were about to tweet. The only question left is whether you have information — or just engagement.

The board

outcomepriceimpliedpays if right
Yes38¢37.5%2.67×
No63¢62.5%1.60×

$1.4M has traded on this market with $63k of live liquidity, and it resolves in ~19 days. Prices are probabilities here: every cent is a percent. The roast above is pure arithmetic — if it stings, the numbers did it.

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Auto-generated from Polymarket's public gamma API; refreshes while the market trends. The engine putting its own money where its math is: Forward Ledger (losses included). Not financial advice; entertainment with arithmetic.