market roast · auto-issued · $10.2M traded

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

100¢"No"
100%implied odds
$10.2Mvolume
4dto resolution
Buying "No" at 100¢ pays 0.5% if you're right. Locked for ~4 days, that's 39% annualized — congratulations, you've reinvented a savings account with a 0% chance of going to zero.

The board

outcomepriceimpliedpays if right
Yes0¢0.4%222.22×
No100¢99.6%1.00×

$10.2M has traded on this market with $365k of live liquidity, and it resolves in ~4 days. Prices are probabilities here: every cent is a percent. The roast above is pure arithmetic — if it stings, the numbers did it.

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Auto-generated from Polymarket's public gamma API; refreshes while the market trends. The engine putting its own money where its math is: Forward Ledger (losses included). Not financial advice; entertainment with arithmetic.