market roast · auto-issued · $40.7M traded

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

84¢"No"
84%implied odds
$40.7Mvolume
171dto resolution
Market says "No" at 84%. To make money against $40.7M of real-money consensus you need a real edge — measured in points, not confidence. Most people bringing "I just feel it" to this market are the yield.

The board

outcomepriceimpliedpays if right
Yes17¢16.5%6.06×
No84¢83.5%1.20×

$40.7M has traded on this market with $444k of live liquidity, and it resolves in ~171 days. Prices are probabilities here: every cent is a percent. The roast above is pure arithmetic — if it stings, the numbers did it.

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Auto-generated from Polymarket's public gamma API; refreshes while the market trends. The engine putting its own money where its math is: Forward Ledger (losses included). Not financial advice; entertainment with arithmetic.