topic · 1 live market · updated 2026-07-28

Crypto: odds, the math & the roast

Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana and the rest: price targets and on-chain events priced as live probabilities, with the payout-vs-risk math spelled out per market.

1 market priced right now

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?91¢No · $2.4M · 91% implied

How to read these

Prices are probabilities: a market at 92¢ is the crowd saying 92% — and buying it pays ~8.7% if the obvious thing happens. To beat that you need a real edge measured in points, not vibes. Every page shows the payout-vs-risk so the math is yours, not ours.

Roast any market yourself → · See the engine's own settled record → · All topics →

proof, not promises — every roast is pure arithmetic from Polymarket's public gamma API, and the engine settles its own calls publicly: Forward Ledger · losses included · today's verdict. Auto-generated; refreshes as markets trend. Not financial advice.