settled verdict · won · 2026-06-21

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

This market resolved "FURIA" on 2026-06-21, verified on-chain against Polymarket's settlement — the polymax engine called it correctly.

On 2026-06-16, the polymax engine's sprint screen flagged this market and took "FURIA" at 75¢ — the market was pricing that outcome at 75%, so a correct call would pay 1.33× the stake. 5.1 days later the market resolved on-chain, and the position settled as a win: +$6.83 on a $20 stake.

75¢entry · "FURIA"
$20stake (paper)
+$6.83result
5.1dheld

Why the engine took it

sprint is one of the engine's ground-truth strategies: across 97 out-of-sample historical positions it hit 78.4% (95% CI 69.2–85.5%), a +3.8-point edge over the market's implied odds, returning +5.1% per bet. This position was sized with fractional Kelly from those numbers — not from a hunch.

One win proves nothing — that's the point of publishing all of them. This verdict is one row in a forward ledger that only ever grows, where the hit rate is computed over every settled position, losses included.

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Paper-trading position settled against the gamma-api resolved outcome. This page was minted automatically when the market resolved and regenerates from the engine's ledger. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.